York

As we head into the second day (Thursday) on the Dante Competition at York we’ve one other prime afternoon of flat horse racing to stay up for. The ITV4 cameras are additionally on the Knavesmire once more to absorb the primary 5 races, together with the Dante Stakes (3:35) – a number one Epsom Derby trial.

Andy Newton is readily available with all of the ITV4 York races this Thursday with key developments and ideas.

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RELATED: York Races As we speak – See All Races at York As we speak: Betting, silks runners & riders


York Horse Racing Ideas and Tendencies (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Paddy Energy ‘Making Flat Much less Flat’ Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced at York earlier than
12/13 – Did not win final outing
12/13 – Had gained at the least 4 occasions earlier than
11/13 – Had run within the final 5 weeks
11/13 – Got here from a single-figure draw
11/13 – Completed within the prime 5 final outing
10/13 – Aged 6 or older
9/13 – Returned a double-figure worth
7/13 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
7/13 – Favourites positioned
6/13 – Carried 8-10 or much less in weight
2/13 – Educated by Tim Easterby (final 2 runnings)
1/13 – Successful favourites
Copper Knight gained the race in 2019 and 2021
2021 Winner: Copper Knight (11/2 jfav)

The Mick Appleby runner – Raasel – is a fast-improving sprinter and he regarded to have a bit extra up his sleeve final time than the pinnacle successful margin prompt. He’s fascinating and needs to be ending off nicely, however 11 of the final 13 winners got here from a single-figure draw – he’s drawn 11.

Alligator Alley, Digital and Bedford Flyer can all go nicely, whereas the busy Effective Wine has been working constantly of late and will hit the body once more. However COPPER KNIGHT @ 6/1 with William Hill has landed the final two runnings of this race appears price sticking with.

Sure, he’s up 19lbs from final yr, however he progressed up the ranks once more final season and has been rated this excessive previously (104). Draw 7 is okay and a current run at Musselburgh can have him prepared for this.

The opposite that ticks a variety of the developments is JAWWAAL (e/w) @ 10/1 with William Hill. This Michael Dods 7 year-old is again from a break however was seventh on this race 12 months in the past and only overwhelmed 3 lengths. He travelled nicely that day however the draw (11) regarded to go in opposition to him within the closing levels. He’s obtained a greater berth in 6 this time and can love the fast floor.

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2.25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Positioned within the prime 4 final outing
14/17 – Received over 1m2f earlier than
14/17 – Favourites positioned
13/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter within the betting
11/17 – Having first run of the season
10/17 – Successful favourites (together with 8 of final 13)
9/17 – Had gained at the least 4 occasions earlier than
9/17 – Had raced at York earlier than
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket final outing
4/17 – Had gained at York earlier than
3/17 – Received final outing
3/17 – Educated by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
1/17 – Irish skilled winners
2021 Winner: Queen Energy (6/4 fav)

This appears set to to be a battle between Sir Michael Stoute, who has two main fancies – Midday Star and Ville De Grace, and the Irish – who ship over Thunder Kiss and Forbearance.

Of that bunch, Thunder Kiss is the top-rated within the area and is a giant participant after a prime win at Cork final outing, however is but to race exterior G3 firm. Forbearance gained a Listed race right here final season, however the fear together with her is the drop again to 1m2f – all wins final season came to visit 1m4f+.

In order that leaves the Soute runners – Ville De Grace – and NOON STAR @ 10/3 with William Hill. The previous was shut second at HQ final outing and can be higher for that run, however it’s fascinating that Ryan Moore, who rode her that day prefers Midday Star.

This 4 year-old was a head Listed Stakes winner at Nottingham final time over 1m2f and has now gained 3 of her final 6 races. She was additionally runer up within the Musidora Stakes right here final season so the monitor is okay, whereas Moore couldn’t be driving any higher in the mean time.

3.00 – Paddy Energy Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Rated between 96-105
15/16 – Had gained over a mile earlier than
14/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
13/16 – Favourites positioned within the prime 4
11/16 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/16 – Had raced within the final 6 weeks
10/16 – Got here from a single-figure draw
10/16 – Had gained at the least 4 occasions earlier than
8/16 – Positioned final outing
7/16 – Aged 4 years-old
3/16 – Successful favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/16 – Received final outing
2021 Winner: Kynren (17/2)

With ALL of the final 16 winners rated between 96-105, then the highest 5 on the cardboard – Bless Him, Brunch, Isla Kai, Cruyff Flip and What’s The Story.

Of that lot, it’s laborious to disregard the Nigel Tinkler runner – ISLA KAI @ 5/1 with William Hill– who has only had seven profession runs and gained 4 of them. He returned final months at Newmarket with a cracking 4th of 17 and will now be spot on for this.

Others to notice decrease down the weights are Hortzador, Redarna, La Trinidad, Lightening Firm and Trais Fluors, however CD winner – BRUNCH (e/w) @ 8/1 with William Hill – is the opposite decide. He was a neck runner-up on this 12 months in the past and appears arrange for one more large show after good runs within the Lincoln (eighth) and the G3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes final time at Newmarket.

3.35 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

17/19 – Winners that went onto run within the Epsom Derby (4 gained)
15/19 – Completed third or higher final outing
13/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter within the betting
13/19 – Had a earlier race that season
12/19 – Received their earlier race
10/19 – Went onto be positioned within the Epsom Derby
5/19 – Had gained over 1m2f earlier than
4/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/19 – Successful favourites
3/19 – Received by coach Aidan O’Brien (gained it 4 occasions in all)
3/19 – Received by coach Sir Michael Stoute (gained it 6 occasions in all)
3/19 – Received by jockey Ryan Moore
3/19 – Educated by John Gosden (3 of final 7 runnings)
3/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Educated by Mark Johnston (2 of final 5)
2/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/19 – Had run at York earlier than
0/19 – Winners from stall 2
Simply 2 successful favourites within the final 14 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the final Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
2021 Winner: Hurricane Lane (5/1)

The James Ferguson yard have a pleasant horse on his arms in El Bodegon, who is certain to be standard when punters see that his final run in October was a 1 1/2 size beating of final Sunday’s simple winner of the Leopardstown Derby Trial – Stone Age.

Nevertheless, that win got here on very tender floor and despite the fact that that type has been given an enormous increase this 3 year-old colt is but to race on floor faster than good-to-soft – that will be the priority.

We are able to’t ignore something coach Aidan O’Brien ship to submit in the mean time – he landed many of the large races at Chester final week and already holds a giant hand within the Epsom Derby betting market. He runs Bluegrass right here, with Ryan Moore driving. However he was only third final outing at Leopardstown and has to this point been unplaced in each runs over 1m2f.

Masekela, for Andrew Balding, has a Derby entry and confirmed respectable type as a 2 year-old final season, however the fear for him and in addition Royal Partronage, who beat him at HQ final Sept, is getting this longer journey.

So, the 2 that look the almost certainly to combat this out are the Gosden runner- Magisterial and the Stoute-trained Desert Crown.

The once-raced Desert Crown is @ 6/1 with William Hill for the Epsom Derby and already has a tall repute even after simply the one run and win. That got here at Nottingham final November, however it was an attention-grabbing 5 1/2 size success. The small fear although is that got here on tender floor and he’s additionally not had a run since – whereas, most of his most important rivals have been on the monitor within the final month or so.

We’ve additionally only seen 2 successful Dante Stakes favourites within the final 14 runnings, which might be a detrimental for Desert Crown if he retains his place on the head of the market.

So, the decide is the Frankel colt – MAGISTERIAL @ 7/2 with William Hill. He can be standard with Frankie Dettori additionally driving and he returned final month with a pleasant win at Leicester. He’s @ 25/1 with William Hill for the Epsom Derby – odds that can disappear if he can win this.

He’s clearly an enhancing type and with three profession runs is a good bit extra skilled than Desert Crown (1 run). He additionally regarded to have a bit up his sleeve final time at Leicester and despite the fact that this can be a large step up in grade he’s obtained highly effective connections that really feel he’s as much as the duty.

4.10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Had gained over 5f or 6f previously
8/10 – Received between 1-2 occasions earlier than
8/10 – Positioned within the prime 5 final outing
7/10 – Ran not more than 6 occasions
7/10 – Rated between 98-103
7/10 – Drawn in stall 1-5
7/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Positioned favourites
6/10 – Had run on the monitor earlier than
5/10 – Received final outing
3/10 – Successful favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2021 Winner: Winter Energy (5/1)

Boonie obtained as much as win by 3/4 of a size at Nottingham final outing and is only up 4lbs for that right here. Khunan and the only CD winner within the area – Mission Dante – might be thought of too.

Nevertheless, the Aidan O’Brien yard have a promising sprinter on their arms in KING OF BAVARIA @ 15/8 with William Hill, who was final seen working nicely in a Listed race at Navan. Prioer to that he gained each begins and despite the fact that the drop again to 5f may not be completely supreme having stayed on nicely the final day over 5 1/2f, he’s proven loads of velocity to deal with it.

Of the remainder, a saver on LAST CRUSADER (e/w) @ 10/1 with William Hill too with jockey Danny Tudhope having gained two of the final 4 runnings of this. He ran nicely at Group stage final season so this drop right into a Listed race will assist and can be fitter for a return run at HQ final month.

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York Horse Racing Occasions and Race Card: Thurs twelfth Might 2022

  • 1:50 – Paddy Energy ‘Making Flat Much less Flat’ Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4
  • 2:25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m2½f ITV4
  • 3:00 – Paddy Energy Hambleton Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV4
  • 3:35 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2½f ITV4
  • 4:10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4
  • 4:45 – Frank Whittle Partnership EBFstallions.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f RTV
  • 5:20 – Fidomoney Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 2m½f RTV

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